Victoria could have eliminated Covid in six weeks by entering stage-four lockdown in July, analysis shows

New modelling indicates mandatory masks and strict closures of public spaces early in the state’s second wave could have eradicated the virus

Elimination of Covid-19 has been found to have been achievable in Victoria within six weeks had the state gone into stage-four lockdown with mandatory wearing of masks – but without curfews or 5km travel restrictions – immediately from 9 July, when there were 860 active cases of the virus in the state.

The modelling analysis published in the Medical Journal of Australia (MJA) on Monday also says it was a missed opportunity that “an expert advisory group on elimination was not convened, limiting the capacity for an optimal evidence-informed policy response”.

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